Gjovik-Lyn 4-1 Lilleström II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.33
Draw
18%
5.15
Away
28%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
9.42
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
42%
2.51
4-5 Goals
30%
2.27
6+ Goals
14%
3.29
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 2.51 — our 42% vs market 32.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
4%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
70%
-16.4pp
19%
Draw
16%
+2.6pp
28%
Away Win
14%
+13.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.1pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gjovik-Lyn EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Lilleström II EU Bookmakers 17%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
3.51/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/2.64
+13% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -4%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
459 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gjovik-Lyn
4-1
AWAY Lilleström II
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gjovik-Lyn vs Lilleström II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gjovik-Lyn swept aside Lilleström II 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gjovik-Lyn as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Gjovik-Lyn had 60% of the ball to Lilleström II's 40%, shots finished 9-6.

What was the final score of Gjovik-Lyn vs Lilleström II?

Gjovik-Lyn 4-1 Lilleström II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gjovik-Lyn vs Lilleström II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gjovik-Lyn win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Gjovik-Lyn 54%, draw 19%, Lilleström II 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gjovik-Lyn), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gjovik-Lyn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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