04/05/2025
·
15:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-4
2nd Score
0-3
Sortland vs Ullern Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
38%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Away Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
18%
19%
Draw
18%
54%
Away Win
64%
43%
Under 2.5
24%
57%
Over 2.5
76%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sortland v Ullern — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Sortland
EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY
Ullern
EU Bookmakers 69%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-19% /
-19%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-30%
/
-28%
46%
Ball Possession
54%
10
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Target
6
6
Corners
6
277 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
402 · 86%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.0
POST-MATCH
Sortland vs Ullern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Sortland ran out comfortable winners over Ullern 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match lean was Ullern at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Sortland vs Ullern?
Sortland 3-0 Ullern in the Norway - 3rd Division on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sortland vs Ullern?
Before kick-off our model rated an Ullern win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sortland 26%, draw 19%, Ullern 54%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ullern) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Ullern)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
NOR4
More Norway - 3rd Division
4 May 2025