Binh Dinh 2-1 Hoang Anh Gia Lai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - V-League 1, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
28%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
38%
+5.7pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
28%
Away Win
33%
-4.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.7pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Binh Dinh EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoang Anh Gia Lai EU Bookmakers 37%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.45/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.19
+19% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
276 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Binh Dinh
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Hoang Anh Gia Lai
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2025 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1-1 HT 1-1 Binh Dinh Binh Dinh VİET
16.06.2024 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai 0-1 HT 0-0 Binh Dinh Binh Dinh VİET
03.11.2023 Binh Dinh Binh Dinh 3-1 HT 3-0 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİET
02.07.2023 Binh Dinh Binh Dinh 2-1 HT 1-0 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİET
28.10.2022 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1-1 HT 0-1 Binh Dinh Binh Dinh VİET
02.07.2022 Binh Dinh Binh Dinh 1-1 HT 1-0 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Binh Dinh
2-1
AWAY Hoang Anh Gia Lai
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Binh Dinh vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Binh Dinh squeezed past Hoang Anh Gia Lai 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Binh Dinh as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Binh Dinh had 47% of the ball to Hoang Anh Gia Lai's 53%, shots finished 12-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Binh Dinh had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Binh Dinh and 0.83 for Hoang Anh Gia Lai.

What was the final score of Binh Dinh vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai?

Binh Dinh 2-1 Hoang Anh Gia Lai in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Binh Dinh vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Binh Dinh win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Binh Dinh 44%, draw 28%, Hoang Anh Gia Lai 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Binh Dinh) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Binh Dinh) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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