Thanh Hoa 1-2 Ho Chi Minh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - V-League 1, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
47%
-9.5pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.6pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+7.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thanh Hoa EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Ho Chi Minh EU Bookmakers 28%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.44/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.49
+4% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thanh Hoa
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Ho Chi Minh
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
14.02.2025 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh 2-2 HT 0-1 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
08.05.2024 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh 2-0 HT 0-0 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
16.12.2023 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa 1-1 HT 0-0 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh VİET
17.04.2023 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa 5-3 HT 2-1 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh VİET
28.10.2022 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa 1-2 HT 1-0 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh VİET
02.07.2022 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh 1-0 HT 0-0 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
POST-MATCH Thanh Hoa vs Ho Chi Minh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ho Chi Minh nicked a narrow win over Thanh Hoa 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Ho Chi Minh found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ho Chi Minh led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Thanh Hoa and 1.83 for Ho Chi Minh.

What was the final score of Thanh Hoa vs Ho Chi Minh?

Thanh Hoa 1-2 Ho Chi Minh in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thanh Hoa vs Ho Chi Minh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thanh Hoa win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Thanh Hoa 38%, draw 30%, Ho Chi Minh 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Thanh Hoa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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