Cremonese 1-2 Lazio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 4 May 2026

Cremonese
1-2 HT 1-0
Lazio
📅04/05/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2025/2026

Cremonese vs Lazio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
47%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.64
Over
45%
2.05
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.58
2-3
40%
1.73
4-5
22%
4.21
6+
9%
21.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.67
1/2
10%
30.0
1/X
9%
13.55
X/1
10%
6.21
X/2
15%
5.03
X/X
14%
3.99
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
22%
3.37
2/X
5%
13.1
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Cremonese v Lazio — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cremonese The Market 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Lazio The Market 43%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
1.22 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.22
1.06 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 0.98
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Average
Great Defensevs comparable teams Great
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
17.9 Crosses 15.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

Cremonese vs Lazio Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cremonese
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Lazio
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
0.91 xG 2.17
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
338 Passes 525
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
18 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.12.2025 Lazio Lazio 0-0 HT 0-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTA
28.05.2023 Lazio Lazio 3-2 HT 2-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTA
18.09.2022 Cremonese Cremonese 0-4 HT 0-3 Lazio Lazio İTA
14.01.2020 Lazio Lazio 4-0 HT 2-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTK

Cremonese 1-2 Lazio — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cremonese
1-2
AWAY Lazio
0.55 xG 0.80
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
375 Passes 568
85% Pass Accuracy 90%
7 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Cremonese vs Lazio
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Lazio squeezed past Cremonese 2-1 away from home. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lazio as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (55%) never looked like landing.

On the day, Cremonese had 42% of the ball to Lazio's 58%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.55 to 0.80.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lazio led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cremonese and 2.75 for Lazio.

Cremonese vs Lazio Result & Final Score

Cremonese 1-2 Lazio in the Italy - Serie A on 04/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Cremonese vs Lazio Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Lazio win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cremonese 25%, draw 28%, Lazio 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lazio) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lazio) ✗ Under 2.5
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