Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction — Model Probabilities
Roma v Fiorentina — Team-Based Signals
Roma vs Fiorentina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Roma 4-0 Fiorentina — Actual Match Statistics
Roma made light work of Fiorentina 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Roma as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 54% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both. At 1.82 (~55%), the BTTS-no price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.
By the numbers, Roma had 61% of the ball to Fiorentina's 39%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 2.24 to 0.14.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Roma and 1.83 for Fiorentina.
Roma vs Fiorentina Result & Final Score
Roma 4-0 Fiorentina in the Italy - Serie A on 04/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Roma 61%, draw 21%, Fiorentina 18%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.