Fylkir 2-0 Vestri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 4 May 2026

📅04/05/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.76
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
20%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
52%
+6.5pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.8pp
20%
Away Win
24%
-3.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.9pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fylkir EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Vestri EU Bookmakers 28%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +15%
1.88/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.73
-10% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fylkir
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Vestri
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
1.54 xG 1.18
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
307 Passes 320
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2024 Vestri Vestri 1-3 HT 1-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
01.09.2024 Vestri Vestri 0-0 HT 0-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
18.06.2024 Fylkir Fylkir 3-2 HT 1-1 Vestri Vestri İZL
13.08.2022 Vestri Vestri 0-1 HT 0-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL1
04.06.2022 Fylkir Fylkir 5-0 HT 1-0 Vestri Vestri İZL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fylkir
2-0
AWAY Vestri
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Fylkir vs Vestri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fylkir saw off Vestri 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fylkir as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fylkir had 54% of the ball to Vestri's 46%, shots finished 7-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Fylkir had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Fylkir and 0.60 for Vestri.

What was the final score of Fylkir vs Vestri?

Fylkir 2-0 Vestri in the Iceland - 1st Division on 04/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fylkir vs Vestri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fylkir win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Fylkir 59%, draw 21%, Vestri 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fylkir) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fylkir) ✗ Over 2.5
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