PSM Makassar 2-1 Bhayangkara United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 4 May 2026

PSM Makassar
2-1 HT 1-1
Bhayangkara United
📅04/05/2026 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Indonesia League 1 – 2025/2026

PSM Makassar vs Bhayangkara United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.3pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.1pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.9pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PSM Makassar v Bhayangkara United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSM Makassar EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Bhayangkara United EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.19/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.38
-18% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
289 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.6

PSM Makassar vs Bhayangkara United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSM Makassar
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Bhayangkara United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
The Meetings
16.08.2025 Bhayangkara United Bhayangkara United 1-1 HT 0-1 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
08.12.2023 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 1-1 HT 0-0 Bhayangkara United Bhayangkara United ENDL1
12.12.2022 Bhayangkara United Bhayangkara United 0-0 HT 0-0 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
25.02.2022 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 0-0 HT 0-0 Bhayangkara United Bhayangkara United ENDL1
06.11.2021 Bhayangkara United Bhayangkara United 2-0 HT 1-0 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
29.10.2019 Bhayangkara United Bhayangkara United 3-2 HT 1-1 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
POST-MATCH PSM Makassar vs Bhayangkara United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSM Makassar squeezed past Bhayangkara United 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 29%) promised a tight game; PSM Makassar found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bhayangkara United led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for PSM Makassar and 1.17 for Bhayangkara United.

What was the final score of PSM Makassar vs Bhayangkara United?

PSM Makassar 2-1 Bhayangkara United in the Indonesia League 1 on 04/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSM Makassar vs Bhayangkara United?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSM Makassar win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split PSM Makassar 39%, draw 32%, Bhayangkara United 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSM Makassar), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSM Makassar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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