Bhayangkara United 1-1 PSM Makassar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.76
No
42%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.4pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.0pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.2pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bhayangkara United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY PSM Makassar EU Bookmakers 33%
+15% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
1.96/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.22
+48% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bhayangkara United
2W-3D-0L
AWAY PSM Makassar
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
08.12.2023 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 1-1 HT 0-0 Bhayangkara United Bhayangkara United ENDL1
12.12.2022 Bhayangkara United Bhayangkara United 0-0 HT 0-0 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
25.02.2022 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 0-0 HT 0-0 Bhayangkara United Bhayangkara United ENDL1
06.11.2021 Bhayangkara United Bhayangkara United 2-0 HT 1-0 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
29.10.2019 Bhayangkara United Bhayangkara United 3-2 HT 1-1 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
POST-MATCH Bhayangkara United vs PSM Makassar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bhayangkara United and PSM Makassar couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bhayangkara United at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bhayangkara United had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Bhayangkara United and 0.60 for PSM Makassar.

What was the final score of Bhayangkara United vs PSM Makassar?

Bhayangkara United 1-1 PSM Makassar in the Indonesia League 1 on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bhayangkara United vs PSM Makassar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bhayangkara United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bhayangkara United 42%, draw 31%, PSM Makassar 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bhayangkara United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bhayangkara United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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