Persita Tangerang 0-1 Persebaya Surabaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
-0.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.5pp
47%
Away Win
44%
+3.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.1pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persita Tangerang EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Persebaya Surabaya EU Bookmakers 48%
+8% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
1.14/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.38
-9% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
343 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persita Tangerang
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Persebaya Surabaya
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
303 Passes 383
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
4 Yellow Cards 1
31.01.2025 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 1-1 HT 0-1 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang ENDL1
14.09.2024 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang 0-1 HT 0-1 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
12.08.2023 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 1-0 HT 0-0 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang ENDL1
18.01.2023 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang 0-5 HT 0-1 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
01.08.2022 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 2-0 HT 1-0 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang ENDL1
06.03.2022 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang 1-1 HT 1-1 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Persita Tangerang
0-1
AWAY Persebaya Surabaya
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Persita Tangerang vs Persebaya Surabaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persebaya Surabaya squeezed past Persita Tangerang 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Persebaya Surabaya as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Persita Tangerang had 51% of the ball to Persebaya Surabaya's 49%, shots finished 14-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Persebaya Surabaya led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Persita Tangerang and 1.83 for Persebaya Surabaya.

What was the final score of Persita Tangerang vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Persita Tangerang 0-1 Persebaya Surabaya in the Indonesia League 1 on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persita Tangerang vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Persebaya Surabaya win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Persita Tangerang 28%, draw 26%, Persebaya Surabaya 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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