Persebaya Surabaya 1-1 Persita Tangerang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 31 Jan 2025

📅31/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-10.6pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.9pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persebaya Surabaya EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Persita Tangerang EU Bookmakers 20%
-2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +22%
1.98/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.49
+12% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persebaya Surabaya
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Persita Tangerang
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
51% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
383 Passes 303
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
14.09.2024 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang 0-1 HT 0-1 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
12.08.2023 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 1-0 HT 0-0 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang ENDL1
18.01.2023 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang 0-5 HT 0-1 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
01.08.2022 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 2-0 HT 1-0 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang ENDL1
06.03.2022 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang 1-1 HT 1-1 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
24.11.2021 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 4-0 HT 1-0 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Persebaya Surabaya
1-1
AWAY Persita Tangerang
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Persebaya Surabaya vs Persita Tangerang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persebaya Surabaya and Persita Tangerang shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Persebaya Surabaya at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Persebaya Surabaya had 59% of the ball to Persita Tangerang's 41%, shots finished 15-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Persebaya Surabaya had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Persebaya Surabaya and 0.17 for Persita Tangerang.

What was the final score of Persebaya Surabaya vs Persita Tangerang?

Persebaya Surabaya 1-1 Persita Tangerang in the Indonesia League 1 on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persebaya Surabaya vs Persita Tangerang?

Before kick-off our model rated a Persebaya Surabaya win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Persebaya Surabaya 50%, draw 28%, Persita Tangerang 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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