Persik Kediri 1-2 Madura United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-5.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+6.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persik Kediri EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Madura United EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +18%
1.11/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.90
-23% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +44%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
321 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persik Kediri
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Madura United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
286 Passes 246
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2025 Madura United Madura United 2-1 HT 1-1 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri ENDL1
06.12.2024 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri 1-0 HT 1-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
24.01.2023 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri 2-0 HT 1-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
06.08.2022 Madura United Madura United 1-0 HT 0-0 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri ENDL1
05.03.2022 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri 2-2 HT 1-1 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
24.11.2021 Madura United Madura United 2-0 HT 1-0 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Persik Kediri
1-2
AWAY Madura United
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Persik Kediri vs Madura United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Madura United squeezed past Persik Kediri 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Madura United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Persik Kediri had 64% of the ball to Madura United's 36%, shots finished 17-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Madura United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Persik Kediri and 1.17 for Madura United.

What was the final score of Persik Kediri vs Madura United?

Persik Kediri 1-2 Madura United in the Indonesia League 1 on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persik Kediri vs Madura United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Persik Kediri win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Persik Kediri 40%, draw 25%, Madura United 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Persik Kediri), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Persik Kediri) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ENDL1 More Indonesia League 1
16 Aug 2025
00:00 PSIM Yogyakarta vs Arema Malang Analysis →
11:30 Bhayangkara United vs PSM Makassar Analysis →
11:30 Persita Tangerang vs Persebaya Surabaya Analysis →
15:00 Persis Solo vs Persija Jakarta Analysis →