Madura United 2-1 Persik Kediri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.78
Over 2.5
39%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.4pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madura United EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Persik Kediri EU Bookmakers 33%
-18% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -7%
1.38/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.07
-3% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Madura United
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Persik Kediri
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
246 Passes 286
06.12.2024 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri 1-0 HT 1-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
24.01.2023 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri 2-0 HT 1-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
06.08.2022 Madura United Madura United 1-0 HT 0-0 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri ENDL1
05.03.2022 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri 2-2 HT 1-1 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
24.11.2021 Madura United Madura United 2-0 HT 1-0 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Madura United
2-1
AWAY Persik Kediri
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Madura United vs Persik Kediri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Madura United edged past Persik Kediri 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Madura United made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Madura United had 44% of the ball to Persik Kediri's 56%, shots finished 6-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Madura United and 1.00 for Persik Kediri.

What was the final score of Madura United vs Persik Kediri?

Madura United 2-1 Persik Kediri in the Indonesia League 1 on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madura United vs Persik Kediri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Madura United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Madura United 39%, draw 25%, Persik Kediri 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Madura United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Madura United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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