Arema Malang vs Persebaya Surabaya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arema Malang v Persebaya Surabaya — Team-Based Signals
Arema Malang vs Persebaya Surabaya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 2-2
Persebaya Surabaya
ENDL1
1-0
HT 0-0
Arema Malang
ENDL1
2-2
HT 2-1
Persebaya Surabaya
ENDL1
4-1
HT 2-0
Arema Malang
ENDL1
Arema Malang and Persebaya Surabaya shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Persebaya Surabaya led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Arema Malang and 2.33 for Persebaya Surabaya.
What was the final score of Arema Malang vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Arema Malang 1-1 Persebaya Surabaya in the Indonesia League 1 on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arema Malang vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Before kick-off our model rated an Persebaya Surabaya win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Arema Malang 33%, draw 29%, Persebaya Surabaya 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya) went the other way.