Persebaya Surabaya vs Arema Malang Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Persebaya Surabaya v Arema Malang — Team-Based Signals
Persebaya Surabaya vs Arema Malang Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-3
HT 2-2
Persebaya Surabaya
ENDL1
1-0
HT 0-0
Arema Malang
ENDL1
2-2
HT 2-1
Persebaya Surabaya
ENDL1
4-1
HT 2-0
Arema Malang
ENDL1
Persebaya Surabaya edged past Arema Malang 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Persebaya Surabaya found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Persebaya Surabaya had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Persebaya Surabaya and 1.00 for Arema Malang.
What was the final score of Persebaya Surabaya vs Arema Malang?
Persebaya Surabaya 3-2 Arema Malang in the Indonesia League 1 on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Persebaya Surabaya vs Arema Malang?
Before kick-off our model rated a Persebaya Surabaya win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Persebaya Surabaya 37%, draw 30%, Arema Malang 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.