Bali United 1-1 PSM Makassar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 7 Dec 2024

Bali United
1-1 HT 0-0
PSM Makassar
📅07/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Indonesia League 1 – 2025/2026

Bali United vs PSM Makassar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
44%
+4.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-2.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.8pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bali United v PSM Makassar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bali United EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY PSM Makassar EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +4%
0.94/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.38
-32% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
290 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Bali United vs PSM Makassar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bali United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY PSM Makassar
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
302 Passes 178
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
The Meetings
11.08.2023 Bali United Bali United 3-2 HT 1-2 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
20.01.2023 Bali United Bali United 2-2 HT 1-0 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
29.07.2022 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 2-0 HT 1-0 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
07.02.2022 Bali United Bali United 2-2 HT 2-1 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
17.10.2021 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 2-1 HT 0-0 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
23.11.2019 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 1-0 HT 1-0 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
POST-MATCH Bali United vs PSM Makassar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bali United and PSM Makassar shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bali United at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSM Makassar led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bali United and 1.83 for PSM Makassar.

What was the final score of Bali United vs PSM Makassar?

Bali United 1-1 PSM Makassar in the Indonesia League 1 on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bali United vs PSM Makassar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bali United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Bali United 48%, draw 26%, PSM Makassar 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bali United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bali United) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ENDL1 More Indonesia League 1
7 Dec 2024
11:30 Persebaya Surabaya vs Arema Malang Analysis →
11:30 Malut United vs Dewa United Analysis →