Wadi Degla 1-2 Kahraba Ismailia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 4 May 2026

📅04/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.63
2-3 Goals
45%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
3.93
6+ Goals
7%
18.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
29%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-1.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wadi Degla EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Kahraba Ismailia EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.03/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.73
-34% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 74%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.9
23.0 Crosses 15.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wadi Degla
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Kahraba Ismailia
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.42 xG 0.97
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
249 Passes 158
72% Pass Accuracy 65%
23 Box Touches 10
14 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2025 Kahraba Ismailia 1-4 HT 1-0 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla MSR
12.03.2025 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 0-0 HT 0-0 Kahraba Ismailia MSR2
03.11.2024 Kahraba Ismailia 1-1 HT 1-0 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla MSR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wadi Degla
1-2
AWAY Kahraba Ismailia
2.27 xG 0.54
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
403 Passes 177
81% Pass Accuracy 69%
24 Box Touches 11
13 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wadi Degla vs Kahraba Ismailia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kahraba Ismailia nicked a narrow win over Wadi Degla 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Wadi Degla carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wadi Degla had 64% of the ball to Kahraba Ismailia's 36%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 2.27 to 0.54 — on chances, Wadi Degla could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Wadi Degla had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Wadi Degla and 0.67 for Kahraba Ismailia.

What was the final score of Wadi Degla vs Kahraba Ismailia?

Wadi Degla 1-2 Kahraba Ismailia in the Egypt - Premier League on 04/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wadi Degla vs Kahraba Ismailia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wadi Degla win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Wadi Degla 56%, draw 25%, Kahraba Ismailia 19%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wadi Degla) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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