Pharco 1-1 Al Mokawloon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 4 May 2026

📅04/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.84
Draw
35%
2.83
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.45
Over 2.5
32%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
1.98
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
13%
5.75
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-3.2pp
35%
Draw
32%
+2.7pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.6pp
68%
Under 2.5
65%
+3.0pp
32%
Over 2.5
35%
-3.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.1pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pharco EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Mokawloon EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -17%
0.80/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.98
-6% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
14.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
13.8 Crosses 15.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pharco
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Al Mokawloon
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.89 xG 0.97
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
277 Passes 256
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2025 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 1-1 HT 1-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
20.05.2024 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 1-1 HT 1-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
30.11.2023 Pharco Pharco 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
01.03.2023 Pharco Pharco 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
31.10.2022 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 0-0 HT 0-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
23.08.2022 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 2-0 HT 0-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pharco
1-1
AWAY Al Mokawloon
1.42 xG 1.08
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 1
211 Passes 184
59% Pass Accuracy 59%
30 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 12
POST-MATCH Pharco vs Al Mokawloon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pharco and Al Mokawloon couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 35% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Pharco had 54% of the ball to Al Mokawloon's 46%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.42 to 1.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Pharco and 1.00 for Al Mokawloon.

What was the final score of Pharco vs Al Mokawloon?

Pharco 1-1 Al Mokawloon in the Egypt - Premier League on 04/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pharco vs Al Mokawloon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Mokawloon win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Pharco 29%, draw 35%, Al Mokawloon 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Mokawloon), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Mokawloon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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