Al Mokawloon 1-1 Pharco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 17 Sep 2025

📅17/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.89
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
19%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.05
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
5.38
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
49%
+5.0pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.0pp
19%
Away Win
20%
-1.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.3pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Mokawloon EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Pharco EU Bookmakers 23%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
1.04/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.10
-21% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +30%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
296 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
19.8 Crosses 13.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Mokawloon
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Pharco
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.07 xG 0.86
49% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
264 Passes 290
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.05.2024 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 1-1 HT 1-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
30.11.2023 Pharco Pharco 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
01.03.2023 Pharco Pharco 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
31.10.2022 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 0-0 HT 0-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
23.08.2022 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 2-0 HT 0-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
18.04.2022 Pharco Pharco 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Mokawloon
1-1
AWAY Pharco
0.47 xG 0.55
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
247 Passes 212
69% Pass Accuracy 66%
20 Box Touches 6
33 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Mokawloon vs Pharco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Mokawloon and Pharco shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Al Mokawloon at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Al Mokawloon had 54% of the ball to Pharco's 46%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.47 to 0.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pharco led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Al Mokawloon and 0.83 for Pharco.

What was the final score of Al Mokawloon vs Pharco?

Al Mokawloon 1-1 Pharco in the Egypt - Premier League on 17/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Mokawloon vs Pharco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Mokawloon win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Al Mokawloon 54%, draw 27%, Pharco 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Mokawloon), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Mokawloon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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