El Gounah 1-1 Petrojet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 17 Sep 2025

📅17/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.02
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
15%
5.5
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-3.3pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.2pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.3pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Gounah EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Petrojet EU Bookmakers 33%
-14% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +26%
1.18/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.73
-16% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +69%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 72%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
17.6 Crosses 19.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Gounah
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Petrojet
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.72 xG 1.17
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
161 Passes 350
56% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 0
26.12.2024 Petrojet Petrojet 1-0 HT 0-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Gounah
1-1
AWAY Petrojet
1.81 xG 0.70
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 3
232 Passes 216
69% Pass Accuracy 66%
18 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH El Gounah vs Petrojet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Gounah and Petrojet couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 33% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, El Gounah had 50% of the ball to Petrojet's 50%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.81 to 0.70.

What was the final score of El Gounah vs Petrojet?

El Gounah 1-1 Petrojet in the Egypt - Premier League on 17/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Gounah vs Petrojet?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Gounah win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split El Gounah 35%, draw 33%, Petrojet 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (El Gounah), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (El Gounah) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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