Petrojet 1-0 El Gounah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.19
Draw
22%
2.77
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.36
Over 2.5
39%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.4
No
64%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.82
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
6.75
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
27%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
42%
+7.5pp
22%
Draw
33%
-10.8pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
70%
-9.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
30%
+9.1pp
36%
BTTS Yes
38%
-2.0pp
64%
BTTS No
62%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Petrojet EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY El Gounah EU Bookmakers 29%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +14%
1.72/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.28
-16% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
303 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 68%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
19.0 Crosses 15.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Petrojet
1-0
AWAY El Gounah
1.17 xG 0.72
63% Ball Possession 37%
22 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
350 Passes 161
73% Pass Accuracy 56%
25 Box Touches 16
31 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Petrojet vs El Gounah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Petrojet squeezed past El Gounah 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Petrojet as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Petrojet had 63% of the ball to El Gounah's 37%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 1.17 to 0.72.

What was the final score of Petrojet vs El Gounah?

Petrojet 1-0 El Gounah in the Egypt - Premier League on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Petrojet vs El Gounah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Petrojet win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Petrojet 49%, draw 22%, El Gounah 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Petrojet), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Petrojet) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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