Al Masry 0-2 Al Ahly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
3.87
Draw
34%
2.94
Away
48%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.45
Over 2.5
31%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.29
No
66%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2.01
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals
15%
5.69
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
21%
2/1
3%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
22%
-3.9pp
34%
Draw
30%
+4.4pp
47%
Away Win
48%
-0.4pp
69%
Under 2.5
65%
+3.6pp
31%
Over 2.5
35%
-3.6pp
34%
BTTS Yes
40%
-5.3pp
66%
BTTS No
60%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Masry EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 52%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.65/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.91
-42% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -22%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 79%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
14.8 Crosses 16.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Masry
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Al Ahly
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.36 xG 1.24
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
252 Passes 353
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.07.2024 Al Masry Al Masry 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
19.09.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 4-0 HT 1-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
03.08.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSRK
26.07.2023 Al Masry Al Masry 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
12.01.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
10.08.2022 Al Ahly Al Ahly 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Masry
0-2
AWAY Al Ahly
0.77 xG 1.07
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
393 Passes 399
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Masry vs Al Ahly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahly beat Al Masry 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ahly as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (66%) came in.

On the day, Al Masry had 50% of the ball to Al Ahly's 50%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.77 to 1.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahly led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Al Masry and 1.50 for Al Ahly.

What was the final score of Al Masry vs Al Ahly?

Al Masry 0-2 Al Ahly in the Egypt - Premier League on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Masry vs Al Ahly?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Al Masry 18%, draw 34%, Al Ahly 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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