Smouha vs Ghazl El Mehalla Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Smouha v Ghazl El Mehalla — Team-Based Signals
Smouha vs Ghazl El Mehalla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Smouha
MSR
0-0
HT 0-0
Ghazl El Mehalla
MSR
1-0
HT 0-0
Smouha
MSR
2-0
HT 0-0
Ghazl El Mehalla
MSR
1-1
HT 0-1
Smouha
MSR
1-1
HT 0-0
Ghazl El Mehalla
MSR
Smouha 2-4 Ghazl El Mehalla — Actual Match Statistics
Ghazl El Mehalla got the better of Smouha 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Smouha at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Smouha had 65% of the ball to Ghazl El Mehalla's 35%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.95 to 3.26.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Smouha had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Smouha and 0.50 for Ghazl El Mehalla.
What was the final score of Smouha vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
Smouha 2-4 Ghazl El Mehalla in the Egypt - Premier League on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Smouha vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
Before kick-off our model rated a Smouha win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Smouha 46%, draw 29%, Ghazl El Mehalla 25%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.