Cukaricki Stankom 1-2 Kızılyıldız — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 4 May 2026

📅04/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
10%
7.18
Draw
13%
5.15
Away
77%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
16%
1/X
4%
X/1
3%
X/2
22%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
39%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
10%
Home Win
11%
-1.0pp
13%
Draw
16%
-3.1pp
77%
Away Win
72%
+4.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cukaricki Stankom EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 77%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -21%
0.71/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.44/0.78
+11% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +1%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
252 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 81%
9.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38.5
8.2 Crosses 25.6
3.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cukaricki Stankom
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Kızılyıldız
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
0.86 xG 2.87
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
258 Passes 448
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 34
9 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.02.2026 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 1-3 HT 1-2 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
04.12.2025 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 3-0 HT 1-0 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
22.12.2024 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 5-2 HT 1-1 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
15.08.2024 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 1-4 HT 0-2 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
25.05.2024 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 4-1 HT 1-1 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
24.02.2024 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 3-0 HT 2-0 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cukaricki Stankom
1-2
AWAY Kızılyıldız
0.52 xG 3.61
32% Ball Possession 68%
11 Total Shots 33
2 Shots on Target 11
1 Corners 5
170 Passes 479
68% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 41
14 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cukaricki Stankom vs Kızılyıldız
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız edged past Cukaricki Stankom 2-1 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cukaricki Stankom had 32% of the ball to Kızılyıldız's 68%, shots finished 11-33, expected goals 0.52 to 3.61 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kızılyıldız's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kızılyıldız led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cukaricki Stankom and 3.67 for Kızılyıldız.

What was the final score of Cukaricki Stankom vs Kızılyıldız?

Cukaricki Stankom 1-2 Kızılyıldız in the Serbia - Super League on 04/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cukaricki Stankom vs Kızılyıldız?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Cukaricki Stankom 10%, draw 13%, Kızılyıldız 77%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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