San Lorenzo vs CA Sarmiento Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Lorenzo v CA Sarmiento — Team-Based Signals
San Lorenzo vs CA Sarmiento Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
San Lorenzo
ARJ
0-1
HT 0-0
San Lorenzo
ARJ
2-4
HT 1-3
San Lorenzo
ARJ
2-1
HT 1-0
San Lorenzo
ARJ
1-0
HT 1-0
CA Sarmiento
ARJ
San Lorenzo 0-1 CA Sarmiento — Actual Match Statistics
CA Sarmiento squeezed past San Lorenzo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was San Lorenzo at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, San Lorenzo had 76% of the ball to CA Sarmiento's 24%, shots finished 23-5, expected goals 1.47 to 0.29 — on chances, San Lorenzo could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Lorenzo had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for San Lorenzo and 0.67 for CA Sarmiento.
What was the final score of San Lorenzo vs CA Sarmiento?
San Lorenzo 0-1 CA Sarmiento in the Argentina - Premier League on 04/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Lorenzo vs CA Sarmiento?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Lorenzo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split San Lorenzo 47%, draw 35%, CA Sarmiento 17%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (San Lorenzo) went the other way.