Sunshine Coast Wanderers 2-1 Brisbane City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 4 Jun 2024

Sunshine Coast Wanderers
2-1 HT 2-0
Brisbane City
📅04/06/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Brisbane City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.08
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
42%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.96
Over 2.5
53%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.38
No
47%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
28%
+6.7pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.2pp
42%
Away Win
49%
-6.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
30%
+16.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
70%
-16.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
68%
-15.2pp
47%
BTTS No
32%
+15.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sunshine Coast Wanderers v Brisbane City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunshine Coast Wanderers EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane City EU Bookmakers 54%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.31/3.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.16/1.04
+60% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / +25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
286 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.6

Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Brisbane City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sunshine Coast Wanderers
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Brisbane City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.70 xG 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
263 Passes 369
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.03.2024 Brisbane City Brisbane City 3-2 HT 2-0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVNPL
20.08.2023 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 1-2 HT 0-1 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVNPL
13.05.2023 Brisbane City Brisbane City 5-1 HT 1-0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVNPL
24.07.2022 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 1-2 HT 1-1 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVSQ
24.04.2022 Brisbane City Brisbane City 4-4 HT 1-1 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVSQ
11.10.2020 Brisbane City Brisbane City 1-1 HT 1-1 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVNPL
POST-MATCH Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Brisbane City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunshine Coast Wanderers squeezed past Brisbane City 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Brisbane City at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brisbane City led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sunshine Coast Wanderers and 2.83 for Brisbane City.

What was the final score of Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Brisbane City?

Sunshine Coast Wanderers 2-1 Brisbane City in the Australia - National Premier League on 04/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Brisbane City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brisbane City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sunshine Coast Wanderers 35%, draw 22%, Brisbane City 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brisbane City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brisbane City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →