Operario PR 1-0 Amazonas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 4 Jun 2024

📅04/06/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.27
No
64%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
40%
2.27
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
14%
5.38
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.27 — our 40% vs market 37.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.8pp
36%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.9pp
64%
BTTS No
60%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Operario PR EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Amazonas EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
1.29/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.36/0.76
-25% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -58%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
24.6 Crosses 13.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Operario PR
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Amazonas
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
21.05.2023 Amazonas Amazonas 2-2 HT 0-2 Operario PR Operario PR BRE3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Operario PR
1-0
AWAY Amazonas
0.42 xG 1.04
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
308 Passes 204
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Operario PR vs Amazonas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Operario PR edged past Amazonas 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Operario PR as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, Operario PR had 57% of the ball to Amazonas's 43%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.42 to 1.04 — the balance of chances actually favoured Amazonas.

What was the final score of Operario PR vs Amazonas?

Operario PR 1-0 Amazonas in the Brazil - Serie B on 04/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Operario PR vs Amazonas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Operario PR win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Operario PR 48%, draw 26%, Amazonas 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Operario PR), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Operario PR) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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