Azerbaycan (K) 1-0 Türkiye (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European Women's Championship Qualifiers, 4 Jun 2024

📅04/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.34
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
54%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
16%
+7.5pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.2pp
54%
Away Win
61%
-7.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.8pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Azerbaycan (K) EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Türkiye (K) EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
237 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Azerbaycan (K)
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Türkiye (K)
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
31.05.2024 Türkiye (K) Türkiye (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Azerbaycan (K) Azerbaycan (K) KAVŞE
11.04.2023 Azerbaycan (K) Azerbaycan (K) 0-0 Türkiye (K) Türkiye (K) HAZ
08.04.2023 Azerbaycan (K) Azerbaycan (K) 0-1 Türkiye (K) Türkiye (K) HAZ
28.06.2022 Türkiye (K) Türkiye (K) 2-2 Azerbaycan (K) Azerbaycan (K) HAZ
25.06.2022 Türkiye (K) Türkiye (K) 2-0 Azerbaycan (K) Azerbaycan (K) HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Azerbaycan (K)
1-0
AWAY Türkiye (K)
4 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Azerbaycan (K) vs Türkiye (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Azerbaycan (K) nicked a narrow win over Türkiye (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Türkiye (K) at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 4-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Türkiye (K) led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Azerbaycan (K) and 1.20 for Türkiye (K).

What was the final score of Azerbaycan (K) vs Türkiye (K)?

Azerbaycan (K) 1-0 Türkiye (K) in the European Women's Championship Qualifiers on 04/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Azerbaycan (K) vs Türkiye (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Türkiye (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Azerbaycan (K) 23%, draw 23%, Türkiye (K) 54%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Türkiye (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Türkiye (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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