Türkiye (K) 1-0 Azerbaycan (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European Women's Championship Qualifiers, 31 May 2024

📅31/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.27
Draw
17%
5.15
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.6
No
54%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
76%
-6.7pp
17%
Draw
17%
-0.5pp
14%
Away Win
7%
+7.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
34%
+11.7pp
54%
BTTS No
66%
-11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Türkiye (K) EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Azerbaycan (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +46% / +46%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +91% / +148%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
444 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Türkiye (K)
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Azerbaycan (K)
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.04.2023 Azerbaycan (K) Azerbaycan (K) 0-0 Türkiye (K) Türkiye (K) HAZ
08.04.2023 Azerbaycan (K) Azerbaycan (K) 0-1 Türkiye (K) Türkiye (K) HAZ
28.06.2022 Türkiye (K) Türkiye (K) 2-2 Azerbaycan (K) Azerbaycan (K) HAZ
25.06.2022 Türkiye (K) Türkiye (K) 2-0 Azerbaycan (K) Azerbaycan (K) HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Türkiye (K)
1-0
AWAY Azerbaycan (K)
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Türkiye (K) vs Azerbaycan (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Türkiye (K) edged past Azerbaycan (K) 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Türkiye (K) as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Türkiye (K) had 63% of the ball to Azerbaycan (K)'s 37%, shots finished 13-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Türkiye (K) had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Türkiye (K) and 0.50 for Azerbaycan (K).

What was the final score of Türkiye (K) vs Azerbaycan (K)?

Türkiye (K) 1-0 Azerbaycan (K) in the European Women's Championship Qualifiers on 31/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Türkiye (K) vs Azerbaycan (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Türkiye (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Türkiye (K) 69%, draw 17%, Azerbaycan (K) 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Türkiye (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Türkiye (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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