Sol De America 2-1 Sportivo Ameliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 4 Jun 2024

📅04/06/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.4pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sol De America EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 39%
+3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
1.66/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.12
+52% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
217 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sol De America
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.03.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 2-1 HT 2-0 Sol De America Sol De America PAR
02.11.2022 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 2-1 HT 0-0 Sol De America Sol De America PAR
03.09.2022 Sol De America Sol De America 1-1 HT 0-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
02.07.2022 Sol De America Sol De America 0-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
22.04.2022 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 3-1 HT 1-1 Sol De America Sol De America PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sol De America
2-1
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sol De America vs Sportivo Ameliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sol De America nicked a narrow win over Sportivo Ameliano 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Sol De America found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sol De America had 46% of the ball to Sportivo Ameliano's 54%, shots finished 13-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sportivo Ameliano led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Sol De America and 1.80 for Sportivo Ameliano.

What was the final score of Sol De America vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Sol De America 2-1 Sportivo Ameliano in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 04/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sol De America vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sol De America win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sol De America 39%, draw 27%, Sportivo Ameliano 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sol De America), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sol De America) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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