HK Kopavogur 4-1 UMF Selfoss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 4 Jun 2025

📅04/06/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.43
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
26%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
65%
-10.6pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.1pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+10.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.2pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HK Kopavogur EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY UMF Selfoss EU Bookmakers 19%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
2.41/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/2.67
-6% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
421 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HK Kopavogur
4W-1D-1L
AWAY UMF Selfoss
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
21.07.2022 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 1-2 HT 1-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL1
05.05.2022 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 2-3 HT 2-2 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss İZL1
23.07.2015 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 4-0 HT 3-0 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss İZL1
15.05.2015 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 0-1 HT 0-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL1
07.08.2014 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 0-6 HT 0-1 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL1
02.06.2014 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 1-1 HT 1-0 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss İZL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HK Kopavogur
4-1
AWAY UMF Selfoss
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH HK Kopavogur vs UMF Selfoss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HK Kopavogur swept aside UMF Selfoss 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had HK Kopavogur as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, HK Kopavogur had 59% of the ball to UMF Selfoss's 41%, shots finished 10-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, HK Kopavogur had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for HK Kopavogur and 0.83 for UMF Selfoss.

What was the final score of HK Kopavogur vs UMF Selfoss?

HK Kopavogur 4-1 UMF Selfoss in the Iceland - 1st Division on 04/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HK Kopavogur vs UMF Selfoss?

Before kick-off our model rated a HK Kopavogur win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split HK Kopavogur 55%, draw 19%, UMF Selfoss 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HK Kopavogur), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (HK Kopavogur) ✓ Over 2.5
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