Thor Akureyri 1-3 Völsungur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 4 Jun 2025

📅04/06/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.49
Draw
27%
4.34
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.46
No
38%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
63%
-16.9pp
27%
Draw
20%
+7.6pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.4pp
62%
BTTS Yes
64%
-2.7pp
38%
BTTS No
36%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thor Akureyri EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Völsungur EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +70% / +70%
2.34/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-9% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / +109%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
421 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thor Akureyri
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Völsungur
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
12.06.2020 Völsungur Völsungur 2-2 HT 1-1 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZK
POST-MATCH Thor Akureyri vs Völsungur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Völsungur got the better of Thor Akureyri 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Thor Akureyri at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

What was the final score of Thor Akureyri vs Völsungur?

Thor Akureyri 1-3 Völsungur in the Iceland - 1st Division on 04/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thor Akureyri vs Völsungur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thor Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Thor Akureyri 46%, draw 27%, Völsungur 27%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Thor Akureyri) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thor Akureyri) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İZL1 More Iceland - 1st Division
4 Jun 2025
22:15 Fylkir vs Leiknir Reykjavik Analysis →
22:15 IR Reykjavik vs Throttur Reykjavik Analysis →
22:15 Njardvik vs Fjölnir Analysis →
22:15 HK Kopavogur vs UMF Selfoss Analysis →