Kanada (K) 3-1 Haiti (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 4 Jun 2025

Kanada (K)
3-1 HT 3-1
Haiti (K)
📅04/06/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2025

Kanada (K) vs Haiti (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.16
Draw
17%
7.78
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.38
Over 2.5
58%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.81
No
65%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
82%
-12.8pp
17%
Draw
10%
+6.9pp
13%
Away Win
7%
+5.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.4pp
35%
BTTS Yes
32%
+3.0pp
65%
BTTS No
68%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kanada (K) v Haiti (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kanada (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Haiti (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.02/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.91
+2% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -46%
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
498 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
34.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
25.1 Crosses 6.0
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.0

Kanada (K) vs Haiti (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kanada (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Haiti (K)
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.91 xG 1.73
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 0
327 Passes 239
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
39 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 6
The Meetings
31.05.2025 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) 4-1 HT 2-0 Haiti (K) Haiti (K) HAZ

Kanada (K) 3-1 Haiti (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kanada (K)
3-1
AWAY Haiti (K)
1.72 xG 1.59
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
289 Passes 263
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 14
9 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kanada (K) vs Haiti (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kanada (K) saw off Haiti (K) 3-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kanada (K) as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (65%) missed.

On the day, Kanada (K) had 51% of the ball to Haiti (K)'s 49%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.72 to 1.59.

What was the final score of Kanada (K) vs Haiti (K)?

Kanada (K) 3-1 Haiti (K) in the Friendlies on 04/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kanada (K) vs Haiti (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kanada (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Kanada (K) 70%, draw 17%, Haiti (K) 13%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kanada (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kanada (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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