Meksika (K) 1-0 Uruguay (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 4 Jun 2025

Meksika (K)
1-0 HT 0-0
Uruguay (K)
📅04/06/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2025

Meksika (K) vs Uruguay (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
66%
-9.1pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.0pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.1pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Meksika (K) v Uruguay (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meksika (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Uruguay (K) EU Bookmakers 18%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +70% / +70%
2.31/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+17% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / –
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
442 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 70%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
19.4 Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards –

Meksika (K) vs Uruguay (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meksika (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Uruguay (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.30 xG 0.31
66% Ball Possession 34%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 1
187 Passes 81
72% Pass Accuracy 56%
18 Box Touches 5
27 Crosses 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
31.05.2025 Meksika (K) Meksika (K) 2-2 HT 1-0 Uruguay (K) Uruguay (K) HAZ

Meksika (K) 1-0 Uruguay (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Meksika (K)
1-0
AWAY Uruguay (K)
1.25 xG 0.84
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 3
104 Passes 72
58% Pass Accuracy 48%
19 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Meksika (K) vs Uruguay (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meksika (K) edged past Uruguay (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Meksika (K) as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Meksika (K) had 56% of the ball to Uruguay (K)'s 44%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 1.25 to 0.84.

What was the final score of Meksika (K) vs Uruguay (K)?

Meksika (K) 1-0 Uruguay (K) in the Friendlies on 04/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meksika (K) vs Uruguay (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Meksika (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Meksika (K) 57%, draw 24%, Uruguay (K) 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Meksika (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Meksika (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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