Meksika (K) 2-2 Uruguay (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 31 May 2025

Meksika (K)
2-2 HT 1-0
Uruguay (K)
📅31/05/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2025

Meksika (K) vs Uruguay (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.27
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
75%
-11.0pp
21%
Draw
17%
+4.4pp
15%
Away Win
9%
+6.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.0pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Meksika (K) v Uruguay (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meksika (K) EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Uruguay (K) EU Bookmakers 11%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
2.37/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.77
-1% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +150%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
477 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
39.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
28.5 Crosses 4.0
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

Meksika (K) 2-2 Uruguay (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Meksika (K)
2-2
AWAY Uruguay (K)
1.30 xG 0.31
66% Ball Possession 34%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 1
187 Passes 81
72% Pass Accuracy 56%
18 Box Touches 5
27 Crosses 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Meksika (K) vs Uruguay (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meksika (K) and Uruguay (K) shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Meksika (K) at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Meksika (K) had 66% of the ball to Uruguay (K)'s 34%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 1.30 to 0.31.

What was the final score of Meksika (K) vs Uruguay (K)?

Meksika (K) 2-2 Uruguay (K) in the Friendlies on 31/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meksika (K) vs Uruguay (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Meksika (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Meksika (K) 64%, draw 21%, Uruguay (K) 15%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Meksika (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Meksika (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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