Sırbistan U21 1-2 Bulgaristan U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 31 May 2025

📅31/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.86
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
33%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
50%
-13.0pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.8pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+9.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sırbistan U21 EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Bulgaristan U21 EU Bookmakers 27%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
0.10/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.10/1.30
-94% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -92% / +26%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
394 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sırbistan U21
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Bulgaristan U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
08.09.2020 Sırbistan U21 Sırbistan U21 1-2 HT 0-1 Bulgaristan U21 Bulgaristan U21 U21
11.10.2019 Bulgaristan U21 Bulgaristan U21 0-1 HT 0-0 Sırbistan U21 Sırbistan U21 U21
26.03.2013 Bulgaristan U21 Bulgaristan U21 0-2 HT 0-1 Sırbistan U21 Sırbistan U21 HAZ
25.03.2011 Sırbistan U21 Sırbistan U21 4-1 HT 3-1 Bulgaristan U21 Bulgaristan U21 HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sırbistan U21
1-2
AWAY Bulgaristan U21
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sırbistan U21 vs Bulgaristan U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bulgaristan U21 nicked a narrow win over Sırbistan U21 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Bulgaristan U21 made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sırbistan U21 had 62% of the ball to Bulgaristan U21's 38%, shots finished 20-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sırbistan U21 had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sırbistan U21 and 0.75 for Bulgaristan U21.

What was the final score of Sırbistan U21 vs Bulgaristan U21?

Sırbistan U21 1-2 Bulgaristan U21 in the Friendlies on 31/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sırbistan U21 vs Bulgaristan U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sırbistan U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sırbistan U21 37%, draw 30%, Bulgaristan U21 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sırbistan U21) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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