Stenungsund 5-0 Vanersborgs IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 4 Jun 2026

📅04/06/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
15%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
63%
-2.9pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.9pp
15%
Away Win
16%
-1.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stenungsund EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Vanersborgs IF EU Bookmakers 20%
-19% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.57/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.94
-31% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
377 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stenungsund
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Vanersborgs IF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
06.04.2024 Stenungsund Stenungsund 1-0 HT 1-0 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF İSÇ4
12.09.2020 Stenungsund Stenungsund 1-5 HT 0-2 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stenungsund
5-0
AWAY Vanersborgs IF
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stenungsund vs Vanersborgs IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stenungsund swept aside Vanersborgs IF 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stenungsund as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Stenungsund had 52% of the ball to Vanersborgs IF's 48%, shots finished 14-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stenungsund and 2.50 for Vanersborgs IF.

What was the final score of Stenungsund vs Vanersborgs IF?

Stenungsund 5-0 Vanersborgs IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 04/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stenungsund vs Vanersborgs IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stenungsund win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Stenungsund 60%, draw 25%, Vanersborgs IF 15%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stenungsund), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stenungsund) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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