Stenungsund 1-0 Vanersborgs IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 6 Apr 2024

Stenungsund
1-0 HT 1-0
Vanersborgs IF
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland – 2024

Stenungsund vs Vanersborgs IF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.1pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stenungsund v Vanersborgs IF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stenungsund EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Vanersborgs IF EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +54% / +54%
1.67/2.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-2% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +73%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
259 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Stenungsund vs Vanersborgs IF Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stenungsund
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Vanersborgs IF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
The Meetings
12.09.2020 Stenungsund Stenungsund 1-5 HT 0-2 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Stenungsund vs Vanersborgs IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stenungsund edged past Vanersborgs IF 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Stenungsund found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Stenungsund vs Vanersborgs IF?

Stenungsund 1-0 Vanersborgs IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stenungsund vs Vanersborgs IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stenungsund win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Stenungsund 40%, draw 26%, Vanersborgs IF 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stenungsund), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stenungsund) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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