06/04/2024
·
14:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-0
2nd Score
0-1
Savedalen vs Jonsereds IF Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
55%
23%
Draw
24%
23%
Away Win
22%
50%
Under 2.5
40%
50%
Over 2.5
60%
46%
BTTS Yes
60%
54%
BTTS No
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Savedalen v Jonsereds IF — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Savedalen
EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY
Jonsereds IF
EU Bookmakers 25%
-21% /
-14%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+16%
/
-39%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
49%
Ball Possession
51%
12
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
3
392 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
326 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.5
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Savedalen vs Jonsereds IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Savedalen got the better of Jonsereds IF 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Savedalen as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
What was the final score of Savedalen vs Jonsereds IF?
Savedalen 2-0 Jonsereds IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Savedalen vs Jonsereds IF?
Before kick-off our model rated a Savedalen win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Savedalen 54%, draw 23%, Jonsereds IF 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Savedalen), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Savedalen)
✓ BTTS No
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