06/04/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
2-2
Jarfalla vs Falu BS Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
29%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
24%
Draw
22%
27%
Away Win
21%
42%
Under 2.5
35%
58%
Over 2.5
65%
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
47%
BTTS No
36%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Jarfalla v Falu BS — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Jarfalla
EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY
Falu BS
EU Bookmakers 25%
-19% /
-19%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+39%
/
-32%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
55%
Ball Possession
45%
15
Total Shots
11
7
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
5
374 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
296 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Jarfalla vs Falu BS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Falu BS edged past Jarfalla 2-1 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Jarfalla at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
What was the final score of Jarfalla vs Falu BS?
Jarfalla 1-2 Falu BS in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Jarfalla vs Falu BS?
Before kick-off our model rated a Jarfalla win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Jarfalla 49%, draw 24%, Falu BS 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jarfalla) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Jarfalla)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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İSÇ4
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