Bergnäsets 3-2 Skelleftea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 6 Apr 2024

Bergnäsets
3-2 HT 1-0
Skelleftea
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland – 2024

Bergnäsets vs Skelleftea Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.87
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
48%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.43
Over 2.5
62%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
12%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
23%
+2.5pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.1pp
48%
Away Win
56%
-7.6pp
38%
Under 2.5
38%
+0.3pp
62%
Over 2.5
62%
-0.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.7pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bergnäsets v Skelleftea — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bergnäsets EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Skelleftea EU Bookmakers 60%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.14/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/0.85
-12% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +46%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
286 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Bergnäsets vs Skelleftea Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bergnäsets
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Skelleftea
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.60
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Skelleftea Skelleftea 3-1 HT 2-1 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets İSÇ4
03.06.2023 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets 0-4 HT 0-1 Skelleftea Skelleftea İSÇ4
24.09.2022 Skelleftea Skelleftea 3-0 HT 0-0 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets İSÇ4
09.10.2021 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets 1-2 HT 0-1 Skelleftea Skelleftea İSÇ4
02.10.2021 Skelleftea Skelleftea 1-1 HT 1-1 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Bergnäsets vs Skelleftea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bergnäsets squeezed past Skelleftea 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Skelleftea at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Skelleftea led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Bergnäsets and 2.60 for Skelleftea.

What was the final score of Bergnäsets vs Skelleftea?

Bergnäsets 3-2 Skelleftea in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bergnäsets vs Skelleftea?

Before kick-off our model rated an Skelleftea win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Bergnäsets 25%, draw 27%, Skelleftea 48%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Skelleftea) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Skelleftea) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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