Sidama Bunna 2-1 Bahardar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 4 Jul 2024

📅04/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.88
No
60%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.3pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.7pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+3.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.7pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sidama Bunna EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahardar EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
0.67/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.70
-44% / +148% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +48%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sidama Bunna
2-1
AWAY Bahardar
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sidama Bunna vs Bahardar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sidama Bunna edged past Bahardar 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Sidama Bunna made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sidama Bunna had 47% of the ball to Bahardar's 53%, shots finished 7-15.

What was the final score of Sidama Bunna vs Bahardar?

Sidama Bunna 2-1 Bahardar in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 04/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sidama Bunna vs Bahardar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bahardar win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sidama Bunna 34%, draw 26%, Bahardar 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bahardar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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