Kedus Giorgis 4-0 Fasil Ketema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 4 Jul 2024

📅04/07/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
+0.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.6pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-0.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kedus Giorgis EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Fasil Ketema EU Bookmakers 37%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
0.50/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.00
-59% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +0%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kedus Giorgis
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Fasil Ketema
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 6
18.01.2024 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema 0-1 HT 0-0 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kedus Giorgis
4-0
AWAY Fasil Ketema
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 0
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kedus Giorgis vs Fasil Ketema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kedus Giorgis ran out comfortable winners over Fasil Ketema 4-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Kedus Giorgis made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kedus Giorgis had 46% of the ball to Fasil Ketema's 54%, shots finished 10-5.

What was the final score of Kedus Giorgis vs Fasil Ketema?

Kedus Giorgis 4-0 Fasil Ketema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 04/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kedus Giorgis vs Fasil Ketema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kedus Giorgis win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kedus Giorgis 38%, draw 29%, Fasil Ketema 32%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kedus Giorgis), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kedus Giorgis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ETH More Etiyopya - Premier League
4 Jul 2024
18:00 Sidama Bunna vs Bahardar Analysis →