Fortuna Sittard 0-1 Genk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 4 Jul 2025

Fortuna Sittard
0-1 HT 0-1
Genk
📅04/07/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Friendlies – 2025/2026

Fortuna Sittard vs Genk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
46%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.58
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.13
6+ Goals
13%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+1.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
46%
Away Win
48%
-2.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fortuna Sittard v Genk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Sittard EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Genk EU Bookmakers 52%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.00/3.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.90/0.45
-21% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +78% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Fortuna Sittard vs Genk Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Sittard
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Genk
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 14
The Meetings
10.01.2019 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 0-1 HT 0-0 Genk Genk HAZ

Fortuna Sittard 0-1 Genk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Sittard
0-1
AWAY Genk
33% Ball Possession 67%
3 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Fortuna Sittard vs Genk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genk squeezed past Fortuna Sittard 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Genk as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Fortuna Sittard had 33% of the ball to Genk's 67%, shots finished 3-8.

What was the final score of Fortuna Sittard vs Genk?

Fortuna Sittard 0-1 Genk in the Friendlies on 04/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Sittard vs Genk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Sittard 29%, draw 26%, Genk 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genk), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Genk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
4 Jul 2025
00:00 Boussu Dour Borinage vs RFC Seraing Analysis →
00:00 WSG Tirol vs Hradec Kralove Analysis →
00:00 Shakhtar Donetsk vs Gorica Analysis →
01:30 Şili (K) vs Bolivya (K) Analysis →
13:00 Eintracht Trier vs Köln II Analysis →
14:00 Wehen Wiesbaden vs Hoffenheim II Analysis →