Degerfors 0-1 Malmö FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 4 Jul 2026

📅04/07/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.8
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.04
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.57
6+ Goals
10%
14.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 28% vs market 26.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.33
1/2
9%
27.5
1/X
7%
12.75
X/1
13%
6.24
X/2
16%
5.32
X/X
15%
4.33
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
15%
3.38
2/X
9%
12.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-4.4pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.4pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Degerfors EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 43%
-13% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -8%
1.15/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.39
-28% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -23%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 81%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
21.1 Crosses 17.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Degerfors
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Malmö FF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.19 xG 2.04
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 9
198 Passes 503
70% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 46
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.08.2025 Malmö FF Malmö FF 1-1 HT 1-1 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
11.05.2025 Degerfors Degerfors 1-4 HT 0-2 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
23.09.2023 Degerfors Degerfors 1-2 HT 0-1 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
05.06.2023 Malmö FF Malmö FF 5-0 HT 2-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
05.03.2023 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-1 HT 0-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇK
06.11.2022 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-2 HT 1-1 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Degerfors
0-1
AWAY Malmö FF
0.58 xG 1.74
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 15
0 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
278 Passes 510
20 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Degerfors vs Malmö FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malmö FF edged past Degerfors 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 32% / 40% — and on the day Malmö FF made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Degerfors had 43% of the ball to Malmö FF's 57%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 0.58 to 1.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malmö FF led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Degerfors and 2.67 for Malmö FF.

What was the final score of Degerfors vs Malmö FF?

Degerfors 0-1 Malmö FF in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 04/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Degerfors vs Malmö FF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Degerfors 28%, draw 32%, Malmö FF 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malmö FF), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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