Degerfors 1-4 Malmö FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 11 May 2025

Degerfors
1-4 HT 0-2
Malmö FF
📅11/05/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2025

Degerfors vs Malmö FF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.48
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
45%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.45
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.6
6+ Goals
12%
14.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
8.29
1/2
7%
23.3
1/X
7%
17.25
X/1 EV+ ✗
14%
10.1
X/2
12%
4.08
X/X
13%
5.39
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
26%
2.12
2/X
4%
15.5
Value flag · X/1 at 10.1 — our 14% vs market 6.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
19%
+11.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
45%
Away Win
57%
-11.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.1pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Degerfors v Malmö FF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Degerfors EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 61%
+16% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -21%
1.33/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.10
+13% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +6%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
283 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 82%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.4
22.4 Crosses 21.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Degerfors vs Malmö FF Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Degerfors
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Malmö FF
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.72 xG 1.84
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
264 Passes 481
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 35
19 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Degerfors Degerfors 1-2 HT 0-1 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
05.06.2023 Malmö FF Malmö FF 5-0 HT 2-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
05.03.2023 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-1 HT 0-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇK
06.11.2022 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-2 HT 1-1 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
29.05.2022 Degerfors Degerfors 0-2 HT 0-2 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
21.08.2021 Malmö FF Malmö FF 3-0 HT 1-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ

Degerfors 1-4 Malmö FF — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Degerfors
1-4
AWAY Malmö FF
2.53 xG 3.14
34% Ball Possession 66%
16 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 13
198 Passes 468
74% Pass Accuracy 88%
29 Box Touches 46
17 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Degerfors vs Malmö FF
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Malmö FF ran out comfortable winners over Degerfors 4-1 away from home in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 11 May 2025. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Degerfors had 34% of the ball to Malmö FF's 66%, shots finished 16-20, expected goals 2.53 to 3.14.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malmö FF lead the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Degerfors and 2.67 for Malmö FF.

What was the final score of Degerfors vs Malmö FF?

Degerfors 1-4 Malmö FF in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Degerfors vs Malmö FF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Degerfors 31%, draw 24%, Malmö FF 45%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malmö FF), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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