AIK 2-1 Mjallby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 11 May 2025

AIK
2-1 HT 1-1
Mjallby
📅11/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.48
Over 2.5
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.13
No
63%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.23
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
15%
5.92
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.54
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
4%
14.6
X/1
10%
4.85
X/2
9%
6.23
X/X
21%
3.59
2/1
10%
35.0
2/2
20%
5.17
2/X
4%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.6pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.7pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.1pp
37%
BTTS Yes
43%
-5.4pp
63%
BTTS No
57%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AIK EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjallby EU Bookmakers 32%
+15% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +16%
1.87/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.32
+27% / +101% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +36%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
19.5 Crosses 16.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AIK
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Mjallby
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.94 xG 0.85
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
395 Passes 337
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2024 AIK AIK 1-0 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
13.04.2024 Mjallby Mjallby 1-1 HT 0-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
09.03.2024 Mjallby Mjallby 1-3 HT 1-2 AIK AIK İSÇK
07.10.2023 AIK AIK 1-0 HT 1-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
03.05.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 0-0 HT 0-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
30.10.2022 Mjallby Mjallby 1-2 HT 0-1 AIK AIK İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AIK
2-1
AWAY Mjallby
1.54 xG 1.69
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
227 Passes 432
67% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AIK vs Mjallby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AIK edged past Mjallby 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and on the day AIK made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AIK had 39% of the ball to Mjallby's 61%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.54 to 1.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AIK had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for AIK and 0.50 for Mjallby.

What was the final score of AIK vs Mjallby?

AIK 2-1 Mjallby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AIK vs Mjallby?

Before kick-off our model rated a AIK win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split AIK 36%, draw 30%, Mjallby 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AIK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AIK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İSÇ More Sweden - Allsvenskan
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