Mjallby 1-1 AIK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 13 Apr 2024

Mjallby
1-1 HT 0-0
AIK
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.62
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.48
6+ Goals
8%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.65
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.7
X/1
14%
5.08
X/2
9%
5.63
X/X
14%
4.0
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
16%
4.22
2/X
9%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.6pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.9pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjallby EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY AIK EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.63/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.34
+27% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
356 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 79%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
20.3 Crosses 19.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjallby
1W-2D-3L
AWAY AIK
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.52 xG 1.15
49% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
338 Passes 419
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Mjallby Mjallby 1-3 HT 1-2 AIK AIK İSÇK
07.10.2023 AIK AIK 1-0 HT 1-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
03.05.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 0-0 HT 0-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
30.10.2022 Mjallby Mjallby 1-2 HT 0-1 AIK AIK İSÇ
02.07.2022 AIK AIK 0-1 HT 0-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
13.09.2021 Mjallby Mjallby 0-0 HT 0-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mjallby
1-1
AWAY AIK
1.28 xG 0.63
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
372 Passes 333
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mjallby vs AIK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjallby and AIK shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Mjallby had 53% of the ball to AIK's 47%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.28 to 0.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AIK led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Mjallby and 1.00 for AIK.

What was the final score of Mjallby vs AIK?

Mjallby 1-1 AIK in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjallby vs AIK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mjallby win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Mjallby 36%, draw 32%, AIK 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mjallby) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mjallby) ✓ Under 2.5
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