Hammarby 1-1 Norrköping — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 11 May 2025

Hammarby
1-1 HT 1-1
Norrköping
📅11/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2025

Hammarby vs Norrköping Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.7
2-3 Goals
41%
1.96
4-5 Goals
25%
2.94
6+ Goals
12%
8.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.83
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
16.0
X/1
19%
4.13
X/2
5%
12.5
X/X
9%
6.69
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.45
2/2
10%
9.72
2/X
8%
18.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.45 — our 10% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-7.7pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.7pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.1pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hammarby v Norrköping — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammarby EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Norrköping EU Bookmakers 20%
-2% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.82/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.50
-1% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
411 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
30.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
24.1 Crosses 17.6
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Hammarby vs Norrköping Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hammarby
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Norrköping
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.15 xG 1.42
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
432 Passes 280
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.09.2024 Hammarby Hammarby 1-1 HT 1-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
12.05.2024 Norrköping Norrköping 1-2 HT 1-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
30.07.2023 Hammarby Hammarby 2-1 HT 0-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
04.05.2023 Norrköping Norrköping 2-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
05.09.2022 Norrköping Norrköping 4-1 HT 0-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
22.05.2022 Hammarby Hammarby 3-0 HT 1-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ

Hammarby 1-1 Norrköping — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hammarby
1-1
AWAY Norrköping
2.02 xG 0.64
71% Ball Possession 29%
22 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
604 Passes 202
88% Pass Accuracy 71%
49 Box Touches 13
25 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hammarby vs Norrköping
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby and Norrköping shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

This one beat our numbers. Hammarby carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hammarby had 71% of the ball to Norrköping's 29%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 2.02 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hammarby had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hammarby and 1.50 for Norrköping.

What was the final score of Hammarby vs Norrköping?

Hammarby 1-1 Norrköping in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammarby vs Norrköping?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hammarby win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Hammarby 55%, draw 25%, Norrköping 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hammarby), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hammarby) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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