Hammarby 1-1 Norrköping — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 16 Sep 2024

Hammarby
1-1 HT 1-0
Norrköping
📅16/09/2024 · 🕒20:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Hammarby vs Norrköping Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.91
4-5 Goals
27%
2.84
6+ Goals
11%
7.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.87
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.8
X/1
16%
3.89
X/2
6%
11.9
X/X
10%
6.36
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
20.7
2/2
12%
8.58
2/X
7%
16.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.7 — our 8% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-8.0pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.9pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hammarby v Norrköping — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammarby EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Norrköping EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -8%
1.81/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.55
+4% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
375 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
24.1 Crosses 18.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Hammarby vs Norrköping Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hammarby
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Norrköping
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.11 xG 1.34
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
408 Passes 293
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
12.05.2024 Norrköping Norrköping 1-2 HT 1-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
30.07.2023 Hammarby Hammarby 2-1 HT 0-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
04.05.2023 Norrköping Norrköping 2-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
05.09.2022 Norrköping Norrköping 4-1 HT 0-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
22.05.2022 Hammarby Hammarby 3-0 HT 1-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
13.03.2022 Hammarby Hammarby 3-2 HT 1-2 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇK

Hammarby 1-1 Norrköping — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hammarby
1-1
AWAY Norrköping
1.33 xG 1.79
69% Ball Possession 31%
19 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 6
551 Passes 218
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 16
29 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hammarby vs Norrköping
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby and Norrköping couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Hammarby at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hammarby had 69% of the ball to Norrköping's 31%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 1.33 to 1.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hammarby had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Hammarby and 1.67 for Norrköping.

What was the final score of Hammarby vs Norrköping?

Hammarby 1-1 Norrköping in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammarby vs Norrköping?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hammarby win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Hammarby 53%, draw 23%, Norrköping 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hammarby), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hammarby) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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